Jake XiaJake XiaChief Risk Officer, Harvard Management Company · Risk Management and Complex Trading

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PDF · 26 Aug 2026

The paper introduces Flexible Indeterminate Factor‑Based Asset Allocation (FIFAA), a hybrid asset‑allocation methodology that blends quantitative rigor with qualitative flexibility. After reviewing a wide range of existing allocation approaches—modern portfolio theory, mean‑variance, Black‑Litterman, risk‑parity, best‑ideas, and factor‑based perspectives—the authors argue that each suffers from practical or theoretical shortcomings. FIFAA addresses these by structuring the allocation process into four steps: (1) selecting a parsimonious set of tradable systematic factors; (2) mapping asset classes or investment universes to those factors using a combination of empirical techniques (e.g., LASSO, stepwise regression) and expert overlays; (3) choosing target factor exposures through mean‑variance, Black‑Litterman‑style, or other risk‑return frameworks; and (4) determining asset‑class portfolios that realize the desired exposures while allowing indeterminate solutions that can incorporate best‑ideas and other non‑quantifiable inputs. The framework emphasizes factor exposure as the core strategic objective, with asset‑class weights treated as a flexible overlay. The authors provide illustrative factor sets, exposure matrices, example target exposures, and sample asset‑class portfolios generated via pseudo‑inverse solutions, constrained optimizations, and preference‑score weighting. Rebalancing is handled by monitoring factor‑exposure drift and establishing asset‑class ranges through robust‑optimization‑style perturbations of the mapping matrix. The discussion acknowledges limitations—difficulty of estimating factor exposures, reliance on mean‑variance, mapping uncertainty, and lack of back‑testing—and outlines future research directions. Overall, FIFAA offers a structured yet adaptable process for institutional investors seeking to blend systematic factor exposure with discretionary investment ideas.

Topics

FIFAA Four‑Step Process Overview

High‑level description of the four sequential steps: factor selection, asset‑class mapping, target factor exposure choice, and asset‑class portfolio construction.

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